Thursday, October 1, 2026
5 selections today, ordered by the size of the gap the model sees. The numbers behind each one are in the match analysis.
2–4UEFA Nations League · 06:45 PM
Home win
Denmark has been producing regularly in attack and Portugal has been firm defensively. The model projects a tight game; the model expects plenty of shots on target; both rarely score in these duels. The full breakdown of the match is in the analysis.
2–1UEFA Nations League · 06:45 PM
Over 7.5 corners
Norway arrives with a productive attack and Norway leaves gaps at the back. The model projects an open game; the model expects a corner-heavy game; the model expects plenty of shots on target. The full breakdown of the match is in the analysis.
1–2Serie B · 11:30 PM
Home win
The model projects an open game and the model expects plenty of shots on target. Their head-to-head history tends to bring goals; both sides usually score when they meet. The full breakdown of the match is in the analysis.
0–0UEFA Nations League · 04:00 PM
Under 3.5 goals
Liechtenstein has barely been generating goals and Liechtenstein leaves gaps at the back. The model projects an open game; their meetings tend to be short of goals; both rarely score in these duels. The full breakdown of the match is in the analysis.
2–0UEFA Nations League · 06:45 PM
Away +3 (Asian handicap)
Germany has been producing regularly in attack and Serbia has barely been generating goals. Serbia leaves gaps at the back; the model projects an open game; the model expects plenty of shots on target. The full breakdown of the match is in the analysis.
This brief was published on October 1, 2026 and has not been edited. The reasoning you read before kickoff is the reasoning you read now.
This is not investment advice. Please gamble responsibly.